Housing Doom Housing Bubble Blog

A nation that forgets its past is doomed to repeat it. - Churchill

June 30th, 2006

Is Zillow Affecting Pricing?

An article in the Wall Street Journal today highlighted the difficulty of proper pricing in today’s market.  In “The Price is Right- Maybe”  it states:

“Now that the market has grown uncertain, homeowners are at more of a loss when deciding what price tag t put on their property.  So in an attempt to attract buyers, some sellers are experimenting with non-traditional strategies.”

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June 29th, 2006

The Picture Isn’t Looking Brighter for Phoenix Market

On June 12th, I posted the “Sales vs Listings” chart, current as of April. Since I have obtained the May numbers from the Arizona MLS site, I have updated the chart:

Sales&Listings-May2006

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June 28th, 2006

You Say Home Values Are Going Up Where You Live? Are You Sure?

Why You Can’t Just Go By The Median Price

A look at four week gains in median price values for four Gilbert zip codes gave the following results:

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June 27th, 2006

Housingdoom Thanks Friends From All Over

A recent search showed that people were linking to Housingdoom from across the country, and overseas.  Here’s a sample of some of the links:

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June 27th, 2006

Existing Home Sales Down 1.2% Year over Year

Reports that existing home sales are down 1.2% year over year somewhat temper yesterdays slight increase in new home sales.

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June 26th, 2006

Lending Reform, Not Higher Interest Rates, Best Solution for Bubble

A number of important economic indicators are out this week - New Home Sales, Existing Home Sales, GDP - but by far the Fed and Bernanke’s decision on interest rates are going to be the most analyzed and scrutenized.

Rising interest rates cause a “Catch 22″ situation when trying to curb inflation.  Higher interest rates makes things more expensive, which helps curve demand.  Unfortunately, inflation is synonymous with rising prices.

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Related Link: Apply for Credit Card with No Credit and start building good credit history right now. Forget about high interest rates in the nearest future.

June 25th, 2006

We Want to Hear Your Bubble Trouble

Are you upside down in a mortgage? Your ARM has reset?  You don’t feel your realtor was straight with you?

Real stories illustrate the seriousness of the current real estate market more than anything else.  I have received a number of stories in other threads, but I thought it would be useful to have a sounding board to put them on.

Maybe by sharing your story, you can help keep others from ending up in the same situation.  Hope to hear from you soon. 

June 24th, 2006

Evidence of a National Housing Bubble

Alan Greenspan said ” Although a ‘bubble’ in home prices for the nation as a whole does not appear likely, there do appear to be, at a minimum, signs of froth in some local markets where home prices seem to have risen to unsustainable levels.”

There was a logic to those comments, I thought.  Those markets where prices inflated quickly would be most at risk for deflating quickly.  It seemed that areas of the country that did not suffer from manic buying sprees should be relatively immune to those problems- but now I am wondering.

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June 23rd, 2006

Housingdoom.com Featured in Arizona Republic

But Here’s the Real Story

Housingdoom.com was featured in today’s Arizona Republic.  (see article)  The article was essentially correct, although I would say it portrays Housingdoom more alarmist than I try to maintain it.  While I do not foresee the collapse of real estate as we know it in a tremendous national tragedy- I think the potential for thousands of individual tragedies is horrific.

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June 23rd, 2006

Subprime Lending and ARMs Could Be Creating the Perfect Foreclosure Storm

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, foreclosures in the first quarter of 2006 fell slightly from 2005- except for subprime loans.  That looks like it might be a piece of bright news among a lot of bad- but it hints of potential difficulties to come.   The risk of mounting foreclosures for subprime borrows remains high.

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