Housing Doom Housing Bubble Blog

A nation that forgets its past is doomed to repeat it. - Churchill

June 21st, 2006

Housing as Piggy Bank/ATM May be Coming to an End

Americans as a nation have no savings- the rate has been declining in recent years until last year, when it actually went negative.

The reason for this decline?  Pundits have put forth a number of reasons, from credit card debt, and excess consumer spending, to a reliance on increasing home equity for savings.  It is likely that all of these are contributing factors.

A Wall Street Journal article today by Jonathan Clements gives another reason- it seems that Americans are spending an inordinate amount on housing and transportation.

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June 21st, 2006

Gilbert AZ Grows Fast, But Inventory Grows Faster

According to the U.S. Census Bureau; Gilbert, AZ is the nation’s fourth fastest growing city.  (Click here for AZ Republic article.)  Gilbert  grew by 11%/year between July 2004 and July 2005, gaining 17,173 people, and averaging about 1,400 people moving in per month.

Gilbert’s explosive growth has been cited as a reason we can’t have a bubble.  The theory is, all these new residents create sufficient demand to keep inventories down.

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