Housing Doom

“He who defends everything defends nothing.” - Frederick the Great

March 1st, 2007

Phoenix February Sales Preview- Sales Down, Inventory Up

Our source has given us our February  Phoenix Metro sales Preview, and we’re detecting a theme here- sales down, inventory up.

ALL MLS

Sales-                    4,914
Under Contract-    7,599
Active Listings-   45,981

According to MLS figures, this would be the slowest February since 2002’s number of 4403, for a 24% decrease year-over-year.  Last February was already off 2005 peak levels.

February Sales Numbers

Year Sales
2002 4403
2003 5493
2004 6196
2005 7781
2006 6469

Sales are up 26% from last month’s preview number of 3895.  However, there is always an increase in sales from January to February due to the cyclical nature of real estate.
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March 1st, 2007

Hey Congressman Tierney - Borrower Data Disks Are Sprouting Feet

Doomers will remember this January 28th post when Admin and I expressed concern at the discovery that HP computers from a failed subprimer storefront operation were scheduled for disposal at auction (on Craigslist, yet) with no effort being made to wipe the disks. Well, it’s a month later and the situation seems to be escalating. A report [1] coming out of Las Vegas earlier this week suggests that disgruntled employees at distressed subprime lender Silver State Mortgage may actually be stealing computers from the company. Should this indeed be the case, this is potentially much more serious than the auction, as there is the real danger an insider may have continued access to sensitive information on media taken from the work site. Furthermore, there were hundreds [2] of employees effected by events at Silver State. Dozens of similarly sized subprime lenders have experienced major disruptions or even gone out of business since December, so the risk to consumer security may not be trivial.

Financial service industry regulators have strict rules regarding the protection of consumers against violations of privacy and identity theft. What I fear is that once a distressed company loses cohesion, these safeguards could become weakened. Once a company’s problems become serious enough to force significant layoffs of staff, who’s going to protect the paper files and electronic media? When a subprime lender implodes, somebody needs to secure their customers’ data.

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