Housing Doom Housing Bubble Blog

A nation that forgets its past is doomed to repeat it. - Churchill

September 18th, 2007

Phoenix: Over 57,000 homes for sale- and counting

Our latest inventory update from L:

Total number of properties found: 57018 Active only   5:53 PM   9/18/2007

Some of those may expire at midnight, but the trend remains upward at the moment. Last year inventory peaked in September before declining for the winter- we’ll see if that trend continues this year. Phoenix reached 55,000+ on August 8, and 56,000 on August 24th

We not only have plenty of home purchasing choices here in Phoenix but it’s not tough to find a rental as well:

Total number of properties found: 8300 For rent Active only

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September 18th, 2007

The Fed Lowers 50 Basis Points

This is the press release from the Federal Reserve:

Release Date: September 18, 2007

For immediate release

 

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to lower its target for the federal funds rate 50 basis points to 4-3/4 percent.

Economic growth was moderate during the first half of the year, but the tightening of credit conditions has the potential to intensify the housing correction and to restrain economic growth more generally.  Today’s action is intended to help forestall some of the adverse effects on the broader economy that might otherwise arise from the disruptions in financial markets and to promote moderate growth over time. 

Readings on core inflation have improved modestly this year.  However, the Committee judges that some inflation risks remain, and it will continue to monitor inflation developments carefully. 

Developments in financial markets since the Committee’s last regular meeting have increased the uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook.  The Committee will continue to assess the effects of these and other developments on economic prospects and will act as needed to foster price stability and sustainable economic growth.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Charles L. Evans; Thomas M. Hoenig; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Frederic S. Mishkin; William Poole; Eric Rosengren; and Kevin M. Warsh.  

In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 50-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 5-1/4 percent.  In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Cleveland, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Kansas City, and San Francisco.

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September 18th, 2007

Will Subprime Wolves Start Dressing Like FHA Sheep?

Reuters reported yesterday on some of the "highlights" of the new FHA "reform" bill

Existing rules for the Federal Housing Administration program cap the number of RAM loans at 275,000. But that would be eliminated under a compromise hatched in recent days between Christopher Dodd, chairman of the banking panel, and Sen. Richard Shelby, the panel’s top Republican.

The RAM mortgage cap was also eliminated in a version of the bill passed by the House of Representatives financial services panel, meaning it will likely be scrapped in the final version of the bill.

Today, FHA borrowers must offer 3 percent cash to quality for a loan so the new language would cut that requirement in half. Also, loans that exceed $362,000 are not FHA eligible under existing rules, which has effectively eliminated the program along the East and West Coasts.

Rep. Barney Frank, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, has said he will try to lift the FHA loan limit as high as $500,000 and give officials the power to raise the limit in times of severe market disruption when the bill is taken up tomorrow.

Up until now, FHA loans have outperformed subprime loans.  According to Lawrence Yun of the National Association of Realtors:

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September 18th, 2007

A bigger piece of a poisoned pie

From the And this is a good thing? department:

NEW YORK, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the top providers of funding for U.S. residential mortgages, will likely boost their share of the mortgage bond market by 40 percent in the second half of 2007, according to Lehman Brothers Holdings Co.

The so-called agencies are seen issuing $380 billion in mortgage-backed securities during the last six months of the year, or 70 percent of the total, Lehman analysts said in a research note on Monday.

The share — albeit in a shrinking market — would be up from 50 percent last year, it said.

Here’s my question: Is a bigger piece of a poisoned pie really worth the agencies sinking their teeth into?

[Hat tip to Metroplexual for the image!]

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September 18th, 2007

Would you prefer your house or plastic?

A new twist on the old question, Paper or plastic? is Your house or plastic?- and more and more people aren’t chosing the house:

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