Housing Doom Housing Bubble Blog

A nation that forgets its past is doomed to repeat it. - Churchill

January 11th, 2008

Bank of America to buy Countrywide

From the "They Are Either Braver Or Dumber Than I Am Department":

CHARLOTTE, N.C. - Bank of America Corp. said Friday it has agreed to buy Countrywide Financial for $4 billion, a deal that rescues the country’s largest mortgage lender.

It comes just months after Bank of America plugged $2 billion in Countrywide Financial Corp. during the height of the summer’s global credit crunch, and just weeks after Bank of America Chief Executive Ken Lewis vowed that making a deal in the mortgage industry would require him "to eat about seven years of my words."

It also places Lewis, an aggressive dealmaker, in the position of a market savior. By buying Countrywide, he’s keeping the industry and regulators from the messy task of figuring out who would take on the responsibility of collecting payments for the millions of U.S. home loans serviced by the Calabasas, Calif.-based lender.

"There’s still plenty of risk involved," said Bart Narter, senior analyst at Celent, a Boston-based financial research and consulting firm. "He’s brave to do it. But I think that it’s very likely down the road to be profitable, maybe not immediately, but long-term."

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January 11th, 2008

Phoenix December Home Sales End The Year With A Whimper

Jay Butler of ASU’s Realty Studies has released his monthly report, and December was, you guessed it- dismal:

The 2007 Greater Phoenix resale home market continued to slow in December, with 3,290 sales recorded (3,280 sales in November), compared to 4,620 sales for a year ago. This is the lowest level of activity for December since 3,240 sales were recorded in 1999.

Of the decline Butler states:

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January 11th, 2008

Phoenix Commercial Real Estate: More Inventory, More “Lag”

From the Arizona Republic- call it what you will, but oversupply and lower lease rates are hurting commercial real estate in Phoenix:

Slow selling homes aren’t the only thing dragging down the Valley’s once-vibrant real estate market.

The commercial real estate market ended 2007 with more vacant space than before, although the picture in the Southeast Valley isn’t as dim as it seems.

Office, industrial and retail vacancy rates rose in the last three months of the year, according to commercial real estate services firm CB Richard Ellis.

But in many cases, the increases came as a result of more inventory and a lag time in filling commercial space.

I think in this case we can safely interpret "more inventory" as "excess supply" and "lag time filling" as "low demand."

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