Housing Doom Housing Bubble Blog

A nation that forgets its past is doomed to repeat it. - Churchill

March 25th, 2008

“Banks walk away. The homeowners are gone, and the property is still there.”

There are times when foreclosures make sense.  It can get an underwater borrower out of a difficult economic situation;  it can readjust the market price of a property  so that it can be purchased by someone who can afford it.  I have to question the sense of this scenario though:

In western New York, the city of Buffalo filed a lawsuit on Feb. 21 against 36 lenders — including big names like JPMorgan Chase and Countrywide Financial Countrywide Corp who were involved in 57 foreclosures that led to properties being abandoned and ultimately demolished by authorities.

The struggling Rust Belt city, plagued by about 10,000 vacant homes and commercial buildings, estimated the 57 foreclosures cost Buffalo $1 million in demolition work and another $1 million in nuisance costs — from police patrols to boarding up buildings, to the social toll on communities.

"We have found homicide victims in these structures," Buffalo Mayor Byron Brown said in a telephone interview.

"Dog fighting has taken place in these structures. Drug dealing has been conducted. Last year one of our fire fighters was critically injured, losing one of his legs from the knee down, fighting a fire at a vacant structure," he said.

Alisa Lukasiewicz, who runs the city’s law department, said Buffalo drew inspiration from similar lawsuits in Cleveland and Baltimore. "These properties are in a state of legal limbo," she said. "Banks walk away. The homeowners are gone, and the property is still there."

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March 25th, 2008

February National Existing Home Sales: Sales Off- So Is Yun’s Grip On Reality

The National Association of Realtors released their numbers for February Existing Home Sales yesterday, but any correlation between the NAR’s analysis and the data is purely coincidental.  According to Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the NAR:

WASHINGTON, March 24, 2008 - Sales of existing homes increased in February and remain within a fairly stable range, according to the National Association of Realtors®. 

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – rose 2.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate (1) of 5.03 million units in February from a pace of 4.89 million in January, but remain 23.8 percent below the 6.60 million-unit level in February 2007.  The sales pace has been in a fairly narrow range since last September.

Let’s just take a look at a couple of graphs to put his comments in perspective.  Here’s what the monthly sales graph has looked like since January 2001:

The increase from January obviously could be explained by normal month-to-month variability- there is insufficient evidence to declare February’s sales numbers an improvement, especially in light of the year-over-year change:

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