OSO: Linux Adoption Will Exceed 1.2%!! (and other brave predictions)

From the chickens, the new goat, & all of us in Doom Castle …

!!HAPPY NEW YEAR!!

We now proudly present OSO’s 2009 prognostications — the ones that gave Igor his world class hangover ;)

25 Predictions for 2009

by One Salient Oversight

 

 

  1. The US Dollar will undergo a substantial devaluation. It will eventually fall below 60 on the US Dollar Index.
  2. The price of oil will go up again but only because it is denominated in US Dollars. It may potentially rise up to $60 depending upon how far the US Dollar will drop, but will not rise due to increased demand.
  3. Oil production throughout 2009 will be substantially lower than the past two years.
  4. Gold will exceed $1000 per ounce as a result of the dollar drop too.
  5. US unemployment will exceed 10% sometime during the year.
  6. The Dow Jones Industrial Average will drop below 7082.26 (half the October 2007 high of 14,164.53. It’s already around 8500 so it won’t have far to go).
  7. Two quarters of 2009 GDP will be negative. The NBER will not announce an end to the recession at all in 2009.
  8. Inflation will rise again a few months after the US Dollar drops (see prediction no. 1 above)
  9. Ben Bernanke will resign or will be fired. A major shakeup of the Federal Open Market Committee will see many new faces.
  10. US Public Debt will exceed 55% of GDP.
  11. Barack Obama’s decisions will disappoint experts, but will retain a high level of popular support.
  12. Paul Krugman will admit he was seriously wrong about something.
  13. Iceland’s economy will begin to recover in the second half of the year.
  14. A growing number of Brits will demand adopting the Euro and abandoning the weak Pound. While this number may exceed 50% of the population, it will not be enough for UK politicians to make any decision throughout the year.
  15. Australia will lose The Ashes to England in the middle of 2009.
  16. More climate scientists will admit that global warming is occurring faster than they thought it would.
  17. Sea levels will rise by more than 3mm in 2009.
  18. Kevin Rudd will mention Biochar.
  19. Applications for Green cards will decline substantially.
  20. Linux adoption will exceed 1.2%.
  21. Firefox adoption will exceed 25%.
  22. Duke Nukem Forever will be released to universal indifference.
  23. Robert Mugabe will remain president of Zimbabwe as conditions plumb new depths of misery.
  24. The Australian Economy will go into recession.
  25. Heath Ledger will posthumously win the 81st Academy Awards Best Actor Oscar for his role as the Joker in The Dark Knight.
 

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Posted by One Salient Oversight at 5:20 PM

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2 Comments for this entry

  1. metroplexual says:
    January 1, 2009 at 11:52 AM

    I can see all of these things happening except for the Krugman part. He has had a pretty darn good track record but he is human afterall.

  2. Asset Hunter says:
    January 2, 2009 at 7:46 PM

    Prediction:

    Greg Swann will admit he was wrong on one, and only one point of his famous list of reasons that RE is “different” in Phoenix.

    http://www.bloodhoundrealty.com/BloodhoundBlog/?p=114

    Specifically, that there is not actually year round golf here, since it is, in truth, too blasted hot for most humans to play in August! # 21

    He will hold fast to the rest of the gems, though, and boldly profess that regardless of when you ask the question, NOW is the best time to buy! :-)

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